Simplified Market Types and Strategic Approaches
If you do not have the benefit of a rich set of data, you might consider a simplified method for determining neighborhood market type and choosing a general strategic approach that is sensitive to that type. We present two of these methods here.
Three Market Types and Strategic Approaches (adapted from Alan Mallach)
1. Market Correction:
- Typically strong neighborhoods despite declining prices.
- Strong intervention not necessary.
- Little or no acquisition – allow the market to correct itself, but be vigilant about property standards, preventing further foreclosures and facilitating new buyers.
2. Market Destabilization:
- Perhaps the neighborhoods with the best opportunities for leveraging stabilization with focused intervention strategies.
- Use acquisition and selective demolition to create opportunities for reuse and neighborhood stabilization: rehab for homeownership, infill development, etc.
- Be aggressive about property maintenance and foreclosure prevention.
3. Market Collapse:
- Potentially the most challenging neighborhoods to address due to dramatic collapse in market conditions.
- Use acquisition to land bank for future opportunities; demolish to reduce oversupply of stock; rehab selectively for ownership or rental; consider alternative uses.
| FORECLOSURE IMPACT RISK | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MARKET STRENGTH | Low risk of high foreclosure density | High risk of high foreclosure density | Actual high foreclosure density |
| STRONG | Lower priority | Lower cost effort to prevent foreclosures and vacancies, low/no subsidy. | Facilitate rapid sales to sustainable owners, low/no subsidy. |
| INTERMEDIATE | Lower priority but watch carefully, head-off emerging problems early | Lower cost effort to prevent foreclosures and vacancies, emphasize neighborhood maintenance. | High payoff/priority rehab and rapid sale to sustainable owners, target subsidies, neighborhood maintenance. |
| WEAK | Lower priority but watch carefully, head-off emerging problems early | Lower cost effort to prevent foreclosures and vacancies. | More emphasis on securing/demolishing, land banking to hold until market rebound. |
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