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Simplified Market Types and Strategic Approaches

If you do not have the benefit of a rich set of data, you might consider a simplified method for determining neighborhood market type and choosing a general strategic approach that is sensitive to that type. We present two of these methods here.

Three Market Types and Strategic Approaches (adapted from Alan Mallach)

 

1. Market Correction:

       
  • Typically strong neighborhoods despite declining prices.
  • Strong intervention not necessary.
  • Little or no acquisition – allow the market to correct itself, but be vigilant about property standards, preventing further foreclosures and facilitating new buyers.

2. Market Destabilization:

  • Perhaps the neighborhoods with the best opportunities for leveraging stabilization with focused intervention strategies.
  • Use acquisition and selective demolition to create opportunities for reuse and neighborhood stabilization: rehab for homeownership, infill development, etc.
  • Be aggressive about property maintenance and foreclosure prevention.

3. Market Collapse:

 

  • Potentially the most challenging neighborhoods to address due to dramatic collapse in market conditions.
  • Use acquisition to land bank for future opportunities; demolish to reduce oversupply of stock; rehab selectively for ownership or rental; consider alternative uses.

 

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  FORECLOSURE IMPACT RISK
MARKET STRENGTH Low risk of high foreclosure density High risk of high foreclosure density Actual high foreclosure density
STRONG Lower priority Lower cost effort to prevent foreclosures and vacancies, low/no subsidy. Facilitate rapid sales to sustainable owners, low/no subsidy.
INTERMEDIATE Lower priority but watch carefully, head-off emerging problems early Lower cost effort to prevent foreclosures and vacancies, emphasize neighborhood maintenance. High payoff/priority rehab and rapid sale to sustainable owners, target subsidies, neighborhood maintenance.
WEAK Lower priority but watch carefully, head-off emerging problems early Lower cost effort to prevent foreclosures and vacancies. More emphasis on securing/demolishing, land banking to hold until market rebound.

 

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